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Monarch Population Status - September 2011
by Chip Taylor - Director, Monarch Watch
The following is a brief update on the status of the eastern monarch
The leading edge of the migration has now reached northern Texas. As
many of you know, we attempt to follow the monarch population
closely. Based on our experience, and ongoing data analysis of
monarch numbers, we offer opinions/projections on what to expect in
the near future based on our understanding of how the monarch
populations have been affected by patterns of temperature and
rainfall in the preceding months.
Late in the spring I started predicting a small migration this fall.
In the Premigration Newsletter sent out with the Monarch Watch
Tagging Kits, I predicted that overwintering population in Mexico
would be similar in size to that of the low populations recorded in
2004 (2.19 hectares) and 2009 (1.92 hectares). It was clear that the
monarch numbers in New England and recorded at Cape May would be low
this fall, and that the numbers originating in the central region
would be slightly better than those of the eastern Dakotas through
Wisconsin but still low relative to long term numbers. The New
England/Cape May projection appears to be correct as the numbers are
down in this region. I was wrong about the central region (Ontario,
MI, OH, IN, IL) - fewer monarchs appear to have been produced in this
area than I expected. Wisconsin numbers also appear to be down.
The surprise is the eastern Dakotas and western MN. This area seems
to be the source of a large number of the monarchs moving through the
lower midwest at this time. Nevertheless, the overall numbers are
down. But, it gets worse. The migration is just beginning to navigate
a 1000 miles of hell - a nearly flowerless/nectarless and waterless
expanse of central KS, OK, TX, and NE MX (see Drought Monitor at
It is too late for rains to change the situation in TX and northern
MX. Monarchs will make it to the overwintering sites but their
numbers will be significantly reduced by these conditions. My
expectation is that that the overwintering numbers will be the lowest
ever (previous low 1.92 hectares) and that the arriving butterflies
will be in relatively poor shape with low fat reserves. If the
average condition (mass) of the overwintering monarchs is lower than
average, mortality during the winter could also be high. Other
scenarios could include low returning numbers next spring with a
reduced reproductive capacity due to low fat reserves. Keep your
fingers crossed that there are no winter storms in MX that could make
It will be interesting to see how monarchs cope with the lack of
nectar and water as they move through TX. Monarchs, like most
insects, have hygroreceptors (sense organs that are sensitive to
humidity gradients); therefore, when conditions are extremely dry, we
might expect monarchs to seek out the darkest and most humid
habitats. If this plays out, most monarchs will accumulate in
drainages, along rivers, move in an out of forests, and concentrate
around other water sources.
As I pointed out in the Premigration Newsletter (and the August
Population Status blog article), there is a new reality, or
expectation, regarding the size of the overwintering population in
MX. It now appears that winter populations will be in the range of
2-6 hectares (down from the long term average of 7.24) with 6
hectares being reached only during the most favorable conditions. In
the near term, the average overwintering population will be close to
3 hectares. As we pointed out recently (Brower et al. 2011), the
decline is related to the loss of habitat, particularly the rapid
adoption of herbicide tolerant (HT) crops. The majority of these
crops are planted within the summer (June-August) breeding area for
the monarch population. In spite of weed control methods prior to
1996, when HT crops were first introduced, milkweed persisted in
these croplands at a low level where they provided an excellent
resource for monarchs. With the planting of HT engineered corn and
soy followed by the use of glyphosate to control weeds, milkweed has
been almost completely eliminated from these crops. At present, the
total area of HT crops is larger than that of any state except TX and
AK, or about 4 times the state of IL). The decline in the monarch
population first became noticeable in 2004 when the percentage of HT
corn and soy acreage exceeded 50% of all acreage for these crops.
Low monarch numbers in MX this winter and in the future means that
the integrity of the overwintering sites is now more important than
ever and that planting milkweeds in gardens and incorporating these
plants in restoration projects either as seeds or plugs should
receive the highest priority.
So what can you do?
- Pledge your support of Monarch Watch via our 2011 fundraising
campaign (3 days remain): http://monarchwatch.org/chip
- Create a Monarch Waystation habitat: http://monarchwatch.org/waystations
- Join the Bring Back the Monarchs campaign: http://bringbackthemonarchs.org
About This Monarch Watch List
Monarch Watch (http://monarchwatch.org) is a nonprofit educational
outreach program based at the University of Kansas that focuses on
the monarch butterfly, its habitat, and its spectacular fall
We rely on private contributions to support the program and we need
your help! Please consider making a tax-deductible donation. Complete
details are available at http://monarchwatch.org/donate or you can
simply call 800-444-4201 (KU Endowment Association) for more
information about giving to Monarch Watch.
If you have any questions about this email or any of our programs
please feel free to contact us anytime.
Thank you for your continued interest and support!
You are receiving this mail because you subscribed to the Monarch
Watch list via monarchwatch.org or shop.monarchwatch.org - if you
would rather not receive these periodic email updates from Monarch
Watch please visit http://monarchwatch.org/update/
This e-mail may be reproduced, printed, or otherwise redistributed as
long as it is provided in full and without any modification. Requests
to do otherwise must be approved in writing by Monarch Watch.
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|FROM THE DESK OF MR. MAHAMA SANKARA|
THE SENIOR AUDITOR INCHARGE FORIEGN REMITTANCE UNIT,
BANK OF AFRICA(BOA).OUAGADOUGOU BURKINA FASO .
I PRESUMED THAT ALL IS WELL WITH YOU AND YOU'RE FAMILY. PLEASE LET THIS NOT BE A SURPRISED MESSAGE TOYOU BECAUSE I GOT YOUR CONTACT INFORMATION FROM THE INTERNATIONAL DIRECTORY FEW WEEKS AGO BEFORE I DECIDED TO CONTACT YOU ON THIS MAGNITUDE AND LUCRATIVE TRANSACTION FOR OUR PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVIVAL IN LIFE.
MOREOVER, I HAVE LAID ALL THE SOLEMN TRUST IN YOU BEFORE I DECIDED TO DISCLOSE THIS SUCCSSFUL AND CONFIDENTIAL TRANSACTION TO YOU.
I AM THE SENIOR AUDITOR INCHARGE OF FORIEGN REMITTANCE UNIT OF OUR BANK HERE IN (OUAGADOUGOU) BURKINA FASO AND I DECIDED TO CONTACT YOU
FOR THIS FINANCIAL TRANSACTION WORTH SEVENTEEN MILLION U.S DOLLARS
(17.M) FOR OUR PRESENT AND FUTURE SUCCESS. THIS IS AN ABANDONED FUND THAT BELONGS TO ONE OF OUR BANK FORIEGN CUSTOMER WHO DIED ALONG WITH HIS ENTIRE FAMILY THROUGH PLANE CRASH FEW YEARS AGO.
MEANWHILE, I WAS VERY FORTUNATE TO COME ACCROSS THE DECEASED FILE WHEN I WAS ARRANGING THE OLD AND ABANDONED CUSTOMERS FILE IN OTHER TO SIGN AND SUBMIT TO THE ENTIRE BANK MANAGEMENT FOR AN OFFICIAL DOCUMENTATION AND AUDIT OF THE YEAR 2010.
INFORMED CLEARLY THAT IT WAS STATED IN OUR FORIEGN BANKING RULES AND REGULATIONS WHICH WAS SIGNED LAWFULLY THAT IF SUCH FUND REMAINS UNCLAIMED TILL THE PERIOD OF FOUR YEARS STARTED FROM THE DATE THE BENEFICIARY DIED, THE MONEY WILL BE TRANSFERRED INTO THE TREASURY AS UNCLAIMED FUND HOWEVER, IT IS NOT AUTHORIZES BY THE RULES GUIDING OUR BANK FOR A CITIZEN OF BURKINA FASO TO MAKE THE CLAIM OF THE FUND UNLESS YOU ARE A FORIEGNER NO MATTER THE COUNTRY.
SO THE REQUEST OF YOU AS A FORIEGNER IS NECESSARY TO APPLY FOR THE CLAIM AND TRANSFER OF THE FUND SMOOTHLY INTO YOUR RELIABLE BANK ACCOUNT AS THE NEXT OF KIN TO THE DECEASED.
WHEN THE FUND IS TRANSFERRED INTO YOUR ACCOUNT 30% WILL BE FOR YOU IN RESPECT OF ALL YOUR ASSISTANCE FOR THE TRANSFER OF THE FUND INTO YOUR ACCOUNT AND PROVISION OF THE BANK ACCOUNT WHERE THE BANK WILL REMIT THE FUND, 65% WILL BE FOR ME BEING THE PIONEER OF THE BUSINESS WHILE THE REST 5% WILL BE SHARED TO RESPECTABLE ORGANISATIONS SUCH AS CHARITY AND THE DESTITUDES HOMES ARROUND US IN THE WORLD.
IF YOU ARE REALLY SURE OF YOUR TRUSTWORTHINESS, ACCOUNTABILITY AND CONFIDENTIALITY ON THIS TRANSACTION CONTACT ME AND ACCEPT NOT TO CHANGE YOUR MIND TO CHEAT OR DISAPPOINT ME WHEN THE FUND IS TRANSFERRED INTO YOUR ACCOUNT.
REPLY FOR THE ASSURANCE WITH YOUR TELEPHONE AND FAX NUMBERS TO FACILITATE EASY COMMUNICATION.
AS SOON AS YOU REPLY, YOU NOTIFY ME SO THAT I WILL LET YOU KNOW THE NEXTSTEP AND PROCEDURE TO FOLLOW IN ORDER TO FINALIZE THIS TRANSACTION SUCCESSFULLY.
I EXPECT YOUR URGENT COMMUNICATION.
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LET'S WORK TOGETHER,
LET'S WORK TOGETHER,
|Dear Friend, |
I am Mr Umaru Benson;the Head of file Department in Bank of Africa (BOA) here in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. I would like you to indicate your interest to receive the transfer of ($6.4) million U.S dollars)I will like you to stand as a next of kin to my late customer, (Mr.andreas schranner from munich,germany)who died along with His entire family in July 2000 in a plane crash, whose account is presently dormant, for claims.
Here is the Web Page regarding the Accident that leads to his Death
If you agree to my business proposal, further details of the transfer will be forwarded to you as soon as I receive your return mail
Consider these and get back to me as soon as possible with your details's.
(4)Cell Phone Number,
(9)Your ID Card
(10)Photo Or International Passport Photo
Finally, confidentiality and the necessary secrecy it deserves I expect your urgent response to this request.Or you can reply me at my private e-mail address:email@example.com
Mr Umaru Benson.
I know that this letter may come to you as a surprise, I got your contact address from the computerized search. My name is Mr. Yacuba Kadri Yves. I am the Bill and Exchange(assistant) Manager of Bank of Africa Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
In mydepartment I discovered an abandoned sum of five million three hundred thousandUnited State of American dollars (5.3 MILLION USA DOLLARS) in an account that belongs to one of our foreign customer Mr Kurt Kuhle from Alexandra Egypt who died along with his family in Siber airlinethat crashed into sea at Isreal on 4th October 2001.
Since I got information about his death I have been expecting his next of kin to come over and claim his money because we can not release it unless somebody applies for it as the next of kin or relation to the deceased as indicated in our banking guidelines, but unfortunately we learnt that all his supposed nextof kin or relation died along side with him in the plane crash leaving nobody behind for the claim.
It is therefore upon thisdiscovery that I decided to make this business proposal to you and release themoney to you as next of kin or relation to the deceased for safety andsubsequent disbursement since nobody is coming for it and I don't want themoney to go into the bank treasury as unclaimed bill.
Am contacting you because our deceased customer is a foreigner and a Burkinabecan not stand as a next of kin to foreign customer.
The banking guidelinesstipulate that the fund should be transferred into the bank treasury after 8years if nobody is coming for the claim.
I have agreed that 50% of this money will be for you as foreign partner in respect to the provision of your account for the transfer and 50% would be for me, after which I shall visit your countryfor disbursement according to the percentage as indicated.
Please I would like you to keep this transaction confidential and as a topsecret as you may wish to know that I am a bank official.
Mr. Yacuba Kadri.
+226 75 74 72 83
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I am sorry to encroach into your privacy in this manner; I am Mr. Zakiu Wadu a chartered chief auditor with BANK OF AFRICA Burkina Faso Ouagadougou West Africa. In my department which I am heading now, I discovered an account opened in this bank since 2004 and since then till now nobody have operated on this very account.
I wish to solicit your attention concern this funds. The amount involved in this discovered account is US$ 15.5.Million and I want the total fund to a safe bank account overseas. The purpose of my contacting you is because my status would not permit me to do this alone. I will send you the full details and more information about the funds. In your respond, please provide me the listed below information to be confuse about you.
Your Full Name.........
Your Present Residence...
Your Telephone Number....
Your Fax..........if available.
Mr. Zakiu Wadu
I am Dumebi Divine, the Head of files/Recording Department in Banque Commerciale du Burkina. I Hoped that you will not expose or betray this trust and confident that I am about to repose on you for the mutual benefit of our both families. I need your urgent assistance in transferring the sum of $9.4 million U.S dollars (Nine million four hundred U.S dollars) into your account. This is an account that belongs to one of our foreign customer who died along with his family in plane crash that happens on Monday, 31 July 2000 into the Hotelissimo plan crash that took place on Monday, 31 July, 2000 for more confirmation visit the web site of the incident. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/859479.stm
The money has been dormant for years in our Bank here without any body coming for it. I want to release the money to you as the next of kin or relation to our deceased customer.
I will place your name as the next of kin to the deceased customer if you are willing for this financial deal.
I don't want the money to go into our Bank treasury account as unclaimed fund. So this is the reason why I contacted you, so that we will release the money to you as the nearest person to the deceased customer.
Please I would like you to keep this proposal as a top secret or delete it from your mail box if you are not interested. Upon receipt of your reply, I will send you full details on how the business will be executed and a text of application which you will fill and send to the bank for the release of the money to your account. Also note that you will have 40% of the above mentioned sum, if you agree to transact the business with me while 60% will be for me.
I will like you to know that this transaction is risk free and that you should not have any atom of fear as all required arrangements have been made for the transfer.
Looking forward to hear from you immediately
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MINISTER OF MINING RESOURCES
OF THE REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA
THIS MESSAGE MIGHTY MEET YOU IN UTMOST SUPRISE, HOWEVER IT'S JUST MY URGENT NEED FOR FOREIGN PARTNER THAT MADE ME TO CONTACT YOU FOR THIS TRANSACTION.
I AM MR. BENARD ESIOSA, A BANKER BY PROFESSION FROM BURKINA FASO IN WEST AFRICA AND CURRENTLY HOLDING THE POST OF DIRECTOR AUDITING AND ACCOUNTING UNIT OF THE BANK.
I HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY OF TRANSFERING THE LEFT OVER FUNDS $13MILLION USDOLLARS) THIRTEEN MILLION UNITED STATE DOLLAS, OF ONEOF MY BANK CLIENTS WHO DIED ALONG WITH HIS ENTIRE FAMILY ON 31,JULY 2000 IN A 31,JULY 2000 IN A PLANE CRASH.
YOU CAN CONFIRM THE GENUINESS OF THE DECEASE DEATH BY CLICKING ON THIS WEB SITEhttp://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/859479.sm
HENCE, I AM INVITING YOU FOR A BUSINESS DEAL WHERE THIS MONEY CAN BE SHARED BETWEEN US IN THE RATION OF 45/45 WHILE 10% WILL BE MAPPED OUT FOR EXPENSES.
IF YOU AGREE TO MY BUSINESS PROPOSAL,FURTHER DETAIL OF THE TRANSFER WILL BE FORWARDED TO YOU AS SOON AS I RECEIVE YOUR RETURN MAIL AND REPLY TO MY PRIVATEE-MAILL; (firstname.lastname@example.org)IMMEDIATELY
HAVE A GREAT DAY.
MR. BENARD ESIOSA.
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My name is Mrs Natasha Abeeku i am from (Russian) resident and company in Burkina Faso west Africa as a business woman dealing with gold and diamond export, but for some years now i have been suffering from ovarian cancer disease, for my greatest surprise the doctor says that i will not survive to live because of the damage infection operation wish i did recently, it is pity to my soul after all my labour with almighty God
Now that i am about to end up the race like this without any members of my family no child to take care of my heritage my mind is not at rest, for this reason you must not betrayed my spirit and soul as soon as you take out this capital from the (ECOBANK) custody, because i am writing you this letter with tears and sorrow through the help of my laptop computer beside my sick bed room.
I have 3 Million US Dollars in Bank Africa Development (B.A.D) here in Burkina Faso, wish i have already instructed the (B.A.D) to give St Andrews Missionary Home in Burkina Faso as a support facilitate and i also have 4. 5 Million US Dollars at (ECOBANK) here in Burkina Faso presently as well, and i instructed the (ECOBANK) to transfer this amount of capital to any foreigner that apply in my name after i have gone to released the riches to the person.
Please i beg you with the name of God almighty to make sure you take 50% out of this total amount of capital to the orphanages home in your country and survive with the remaining 50% so that my spirit and soul should be at rest in heaven with almighty God.
Above is the bank email address, i am advising you to contact the bank straight away through this giving email address for the released of the money to you, please do as i told you and i wish you good luck and success.
From. Mrs Natasha Abeeku.
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